Public results / evidence-state index

Results with
the boundary attached.

This hub points to the public leaderboard, figure package, and terminal experiment outcomes. It keeps frozen, terminal-data, provisional, and design states separate so an available artifact never becomes a stronger claim by navigation alone.

Public artifact indexAugust 8, 2026 at 8:00 PM UTC

Evidence state key

Every result carries its boundary.

States describe what the public artifact authorizes a reader to say. They are labels with different jobs, not a single progress bar.

01Frozen

The public artifact is frozen for the claim it names.

02Terminal data

The data are terminal; analysis qualifications stay attached.

03Provisional

A dated readout is visible, but it is not a terminal claim.

04Design

The instrument or preflight exists before model outcomes.

Public evidence surfaces

Start with the artifact, not the headline.

01
01 / Full-game ladderProvisional

Protocol leaderboard

The public cohort table carries its opponent, color, clock, clean-game rule, and cohort state with every estimate.

Frozen cohorts: 1Evidence cutoff: August 8, 2026 at 8:00 PM UTC

Boundary. These are local protocol-specific measurements, not FIDE, online-platform, or general model ratings.

Open the leaderboard
02 / Deterministic figure packageFrozen

Luna figure record

The gallery preserves the terminal-frozen Luna figure alongside its caption, accessibility text, and artifact identity.

Terminal-frozen figures: 1Deterministic export: yes

Boundary. Terminal frozen, exploratory, and protocol-specific.

Open the Luna terminal figure
03 / Interim readoutProvisional

DeepSeek provisional record

The public figure package preserves a historical interim and unfrozen DeepSeek projection. Terminal data, a rating, and the joint E000/E001 qualification exist. The public DeepSeek cohort remains interim; public Elo and ranking are withheld, publication is unauthorized, and request-level billing attribution is unavailable.

Interim figures: 1Provider calls in export: 0

Boundary. Historical interim, unfrozen, and provisional snapshots from the pre-terminal synthesis; terminal DeepSeek data and publication authorization are represented separately.

Inspect the DeepSeek interim figure
04 / Information-ablation instrumentDesign

Matched root-information factorial ablation

Does redundant access to the root board or complete legal-move list change system regret when the underlying chess state, action universe, response contract, and request length stay fixed?

Evidence state: local preflight onlyObserved model outcomes: 0

Boundary. R3's installed Responses path remains the observed NO-GO; R3A is isolated and not integrated into the live harness. No provider-received bytes, provider compatibility, provider behavior, model effect, chess-quality effect, power result, final-position result, paid execution, or causal benefit has been observed.

Explore the design preflight

Public terminal artifacts / terminal aggregates

Four outcomes. Four attached caveats.

02
Candidate-order sensitivityTerminal data

E025

The shuffle moved. The signal did not.

Across 48 positions and 192 registered calls, changing candidate order produced 42.7% disagreement; identical-order baselines were 39.6% and 35.4%.

Adjusted excess+5.2 pp

The terminal aggregate is not clearly supported as a non-zero effect.

95% interval-2.1 pp to +13.5 pp
Randomizationp=0.191
Registered cells192

Claim boundary. Action stability for one dated Luna alias cohort on development-exposed Black positions; not move quality, Elo, search, or a universal null.

Prompt guidanceTerminal data

E028

The prompt pulled.

Across 48 paired positions, visible fixed-set membership was 95.8% versus 2.1% in the board-only arm.

Paired effect+93.8 pp

Membership in the supplied set, not move quality or chess strength.

95% interval+88.5 pp to +97.9 pp
Randomizationp=0.00001
Missing cells0

Claim boundary. Development-only causal effect of showing one fixed five-move suggestion set on Luna set adherence; no move-quality, Elo, vision, search, or candidate-generation claim.

Exact tablebase adviceTerminal data

E029

Two exact moves. A qualified local gain.

Across 60 complete paired positions, exact-top-two advice changed mean 50-move-rule utility from 42.5% to 49.6%.

Paired utility effect+7.08 pp

positive confirmatory; the analyzer qualification remains public.

95% interval+2.92 pp to +11.67 pp
Sign-flipp=0.00324
Complete positions60/60

Claim boundary. A local causal effect of displaying two unranked exact-policy moves on exact 50-move-rule move utility for this cohort; no full-game transfer, Elo, learning, vision, search, or general chess-strength claim.

Engine scaffold / paired puzzle survivalTerminal data

A113

Two unranked moves. A local survival effect.

Across 319 complete pairs from 320 source puzzles and 640 scheduled episodes, the fixed-budget Stockfish scaffold changed complete-episode survival by +11.6 pp for the same Luna model.

Paired survival effect+11.6 pp

Model-plus-harness protocol effect; not model-only learning or Elo.

95% interval+7.52 pp to +15.99 pp
Complete pairs319/320
Missingness sensitivity+11.56 pp to +11.88 pp

Claim boundary. A positive paired engine-scaffold effect on registered puzzle-decision survival for this Luna cohort; no learning, Elo, unassisted-strength, or general agentic-chess claim.